
BULL MARKET IN GOLD HAS MUCH FARTHER TO GO
Gold and silver prices are rising Wednesday, bucking the commodities' traditional trend against a strengthening dollar. Gold firmly re-established itself this week as a safe-haven asset. Jumps in the price of gold on Tuesday were largely driven by Greece's debt rating being cut to junk and Portugal's rating, which was also downgraded. This caused investors to move to safe-haven investments, specifically gold.
The gold price has broken above all resistance and the last remaining one is the November closing high at $1218. Once that is surpassed, gold could jump up to the $1300 level before this intermediate rise is over. (The Aden Sisters, April 27, 2010)
Furthering support for a bullish outlook in gold, The Aden Sisters assert in their April 27 commentary, "This month's jump up in precious metals, resources, and oil reinforces that the lows in February were likely the lows for the downward correction." In addition, they note that gold's decline was relatively mild, which indicates the underlying bull market is strong – despite the fact gold's already been rising for nine years.
In other commodities, crude oil continues to hover at $82 a barrel, steady with prices from Tuesday's market close.
Stocks are rallying today after yesterday's selloff on positive earnings and anticipation that the Federal Reserve will likely keep interest rates at their records lows until further data builds confidence in the stability of the U.S. economic recovery. U.S. stocks fell sharply on Tuesday after Greece's debt rating was cut to junk and Portugal's rating was downgraded. Concerns about "the meltdown in global markets" have been offset by stronger-than-expected corporate results, said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist for Avalon Partners.
In other news, Republicans blocked Democrats efforts in the senate to commence debate on Wall Street Reform, while top Goldman Sachs executives, including the now infamous Fabrice Tourre, were grilled by a senate committee for more than 10 hours about their role in the financial crisis. In their testimony, Goldman executives continued to vehemently deny that they knowingly and maliciously misled investors. Testimony before the senate committee continues Wednesday.
Returning to precious metals, gold is continuing towards all time highs in both the dollar and euro, bucking the trend of traditional commodities. Analyst David Goldman of the Asia Times attributes this central banks continuing to flood the marketplace with currency in efforts to offset massive government debts. According to Goldman, the likely scenario is a portfolio shift out of currencies for investors and into gold. "If this happens, gold has no natural ceiling," he said.
Goldman's analysis, plus the continuing questions about China's gold position in the upcoming years points to what will likely be a continuing bull market for gold and a tremendous buying opportunity for investors in precious metals.


- S&P Capital IQ - Gold: $1,900 (in 2012) "Leo Larkin, metals and mining analyst at S&P Capital IQ, thinks that $1,900 gold might not be that much of a stretch [in 2012]. 'Gold has been ..."
- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."









