
BULL RUN ONLY BEGINNING FOR GOLD
The dollar is stronger this morning, up 18 basis points and all other markets are in negative territory. The Dow is down 137 points, oil is down $1.47, but gold and silver are pretty steady holding in there with gold at $1,135.60 and silver at $18.32 an ounce. Gold and silver are showing exceptional strength given the fact that the dollar is rallying and they've had such enormous moves on the upside. In fact, it would not be surprising to see them rally back into positive territory by the end of the day or tomorrow. Gold could see a brief period of consolidation between $1,130 and $1,150. However, most analysts think that any correction would be very short-lived.
The Wall Street Journal reported yesterday, "Consolidation in these types of trends are normally very shallow and quick, and it won't be long before the next upside targets at $1,200 and $1,230 are met."In addition, Mark Farber said yesterday that gold at this level is abetter buy than it was at $300 an ounce in 2001. He said, "I wouldn't be surprised if, in another eight years - in 2017 - the yellow metal fetches $5,000 an ounce or more, which, by my math, would make it a better buy. After almost a decade of trillion dollar deficits, that almost seems like a slam dunk when the measuring stick is the U.S. dollar."
In addition, famous investor John Paulsen who scored $20 billion worth of profits between 2007 and early 2009, is now opening a gold fund. As the Wall Street Journal said he is "a major investor is placing a big new bet on gold." The fund will begin on January 1st. Paulsen himself is putting $250 million into the fund. According to the Wall Street Journal article which appeared on the Dow Jones Wire Service, "At Tuesday's investor meeting, Paulsen argued that the bull run was only beginning for gold; he said he was starting the new fund in part to get himself more personal exposure to gold."
These are sophisticated investors who understand the markets and understand the underlying dynamics. While they are not infallible, they are generally likely to be correct in their market calls. Follow their lead and you have a better chance of being successful than if you followed the "hot tips" of some retail broker or so-called investment advisor. Investors should consider having their portfolios diversified with gold for the reasons I sited yesterday, namely diversification, wealth protection, an inflation hedge, and an independent profit opportunity with its own upside momentum. Call Goldline today at 1-877-341-2646 to either begin your gold diversification or to add to your holdings, if that seems appropriate.
In another piece of very important news that should cause investors to consider owning gold, the Central Bank of Russia is buying 30 metric tons of gold from the state precious metal and stones depository. The sale should be finalized before the end of this year. Moreover, the price that will be paid will be the market price. All of this is extremely bullish for gold, as we see major nations accumulating large amounts of gold for their central bank reserves. They are using gold as a replacement for the dollar. This further suggests a longer-term down trend for the dollar and a longer-term up trend for gold.
In economic news, some indicators of economic activity suggest further growth in the economy ahead. The Fed's Philadelphia Manufacturing Activity Index rose to 16.7 in November from 11.5 in October. This is a positive statistic. Moreover, the leading index of economic activity also rose 0.3% in October. On the employment front, the country still lost 502,000 jobs in the reporting week, although this is on somewhat of an improving trend. Yesterday, President Obama said that if the country doesn't get control of the debt and deficits that there will be a double-dip recession. That seemed to be a statement inclined to appease the Chinese rather than an appeal to the people of this country to restrain spending.
All of these developments, whether on the economic front or on the technical front are supportive of rising gold.
If you would like to take advantage of the Price Guarantee Program, which provides you with a two-week window of opportunity in which to re-price your order in the event of a correction, you must select assets with some collectible value such as 20 Francs, Double Eagles and Silver Dollars. Call Goldline at 1-877-341-2646 for further information on the Price Guarantee Program.
†This material has been prepared for private use. Although the information in this commentary has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, Goldline does not guarantee its accuracy and such information may be incomplete or condensed. The opinions expressed are subject to change without notice.
You should review Goldine's Account Agreement along with our risk disclosure booklet, Coin Facts for Investors and Collectors to Consider ®, prior to making your purchase. Goldline has a spread or price difference between our selling price, called the "ask", and our buy-back price, called the "bid". That spread varies depending on coin or bar you acquire. Spreads on 1 oz bullion coins, 90% silver dimes and quarters, and one ounce and larger bullion bars are 13%. All other coins have a spread of 28%. There is also a 1% liquidation fee when you sell your coins back to Goldline. The market must go up enough to overcome this spread before an actual profit is achieved. Precious metals and rare coins can increase or decrease in value. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Coins are a long-term, three- to five-year, preferably five- to ten-year investment. We believe precious metals are suitable for 5% to 20% of the average investment portfolio though others may recommend a different percentage.
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- S&P Capital IQ - Gold: $1,900 (in 2012) "Leo Larkin, metals and mining analyst at S&P Capital IQ, thinks that $1,900 gold might not be that much of a stretch [in 2012]. 'Gold has been ..."
- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."


