
CORRECTION AND CONSOLIDATION PERIOD CONTINUES
Yesterday afternoon, Jim Cramer of CNBC aggressively recommended that investors acquire gold. He said he sees the possibility of gold declining further, perhaps even to the $900 level. However, he said investors should be dollar cost averaging into the market because this is a correction and consolidation period, not the end of the bull market. This week, the gold market after reaching $1,000 an ounce has been correcting and consolidating. The support level was at $950, which was violated today. However, trading is very light and this market could turn around quickly. Cramer agreed with that view, saying you cannot try to time a bottom in this corrective process. Rather, you need to be moving into the market so you have a proper diversification into gold.
In an environment where the U.S. government and other governments around the world are simply printing up money to transfer wealth to the financial system, and while the governments are accumulating massive amounts of debt, gold will sooner or later break out to new highs. Several analysts including Walter DeWet and Ted Kendal of Mitsubishi Bank say they see this market turning around and moving back up towards $1,000 very quickly, perhaps within days. Some of the pressure on gold is due to the fact that the equity market has rebounded in a bear market correction. We should be mindful that corrections are a normal part of the market process.
President Obama's speech generated a considerable amount of confidence among investors. Therefore, some of the flight to quality buying has dissipated. Thoughtful investors do not see anything in the proposals and comments that the President made other than massive government spending that we can't afford, which is likely to lead to a falling dollar down the road. For now, the next key support levels are at $940 and $935. Nevertheless, the gold market remains bullish.
The Aden Sisters point out that the gold market tends to operate in eight-year cycles. We are now at one of those eight year cycle periods, during which a low is normally made. They said, "This recurring pattern tells us the low could have been last November's low, three months shy of eight years, or it could still be upcoming. The long side would be a low this summer. The point is that gold is near or at an important low time. This means we want to buy more gold during the weakness this year because gold is set to reach a record high, and the $2,000 level would eventually be a likely target near the top of the mega up-trend channel. In other words, whether it was last November's low or a low coming this year, the gold price is getting closer to the start of an even greater bull market rise. We should, therefore, have all our gold positions completely bought well before year-end."
Since most of the major analysts believe this correction will be a short-lived process, the opportunity to acquire gold at or near an eight-year low may be at hand. Investors should be accumulating during this time period as Cramer has been recommending. Moreover, look at the comments from Merrill Lynch. Every single day they reiterate their comment that they are very bullish on gold. Merrill Lynch says that gold is a "no brainer investment" in their opinion. They see gold rising to $1,500 to $1,600 an ounce over the next few years. If you look at other commodities, we are starting to see some strength emerging there as well. Oil is up $1.57 at $44.07 a barrel and the dollar is down 41 basis points at 87.50.
On the economic front, the data is uniformly poor. Unemployment surged once again. Mew claims for unemployment jumped unexpectedly to 667,000 and continuing claims topped 5.1 million. These are dreadful weekly numbers and suggest the economy is weakening rapidly. Yesterday, the Zale Corporation announced it is closing 115 jewelry stores across the country. This will be very bad for the mall business as they are large tenants. Malls across the country are beginning to look like ghost towns. Empty box stores and laid-off workers seem to be the rule rather than the exception. Moreover, the new Obama budget projects a $1.75 trillion deficit this year. That is absolutely astronomical. I do not see how we can avoid inflationary pressures when the government is running deficits of this magnitude.
It is factors such as these that cause investors to want to own gold for the long-term. The idea that the budget deficits could be cut in half in the next four years seems ridiculous. Moreover, if you look at General Motors, it lost over $84 million a day last year. They have burned through $6.2 billion in cash and posted a $9.6 billion fourth quarter loss. There is no sign of any improvement in the auto market. In fact, the TALF program that the Fed has was supposed to enable auto lenders to resume lending. However, the problem is that most of these lenders do not qualify for that program.
These are all very substantial reasons to move into gold without delay. Call Goldline at 1-877-341-2646 for assistance in getting started. Ask Goldline about special offers such as free shipping or the utilization of Goldline's Price Guarantee Program. You should also ask for the free information package. Tell the folks at Goldline that Joe said you should ask for the free CD and the free copy of the Advisor Newsletter. Call Goldline at 1-877-341-2646.
Investors should contact Goldline and ask them to explain the features, benefits and cost structure of the various gold and silver investments that are available to you. Select those that best meet your own personal and individual investing needs and objectives. Investors looking for low transaction costs may wish to consider bullion assets such as American Eagles, Krugerrands, Canadian Maple Leafs, Silver Bags or Silver Bars. However, the Price Guarantee Program is not available with these assets.
If you would like to take advantage of the Price Guarantee Program, which provides you with a two-week window of opportunity in which to re-price your order in the event of a correction, you must select assets with some collectible value such as 20 Francs, Double Eagles and Silver Dollars. Call Goldline at 1-877-341-2646 for further information on the Price Guarantee Program and how you may be able to receive free coins.
To receive the free information package, including articles on the dollar, the economy and gold, call Goldline at 1-877-341-2646. Goldline also provides several other helpful articles. There are a number of other independent third-party source articles that you will find extremely helpful and informative. You will also receive the Client Account Agreement, a company brochure and a Coin Facts Risk Disclosure booklet. Read these carefully before you make an investment. Call Goldline at 1-877-341-2646 now to receive your free information package.
†This material has been prepared for private use. Although the information in this commentary has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, Goldline does not guarantee its accuracy and such information may be incomplete or condensed. The opinions expressed are subject to change without notice.
You should review Goldine's Account Agreement along with our risk disclosure booklet, Coin Facts for Investors and Collectors to Consider ®, prior to making your purchase. Goldline has a spread or price difference between our selling price, called the "ask", and our buy-back price, called the "bid". That spread varies depending on coin or bar you acquire. Spreads on 1 oz bullion coins, 90% silver dimes and quarters, and one ounce and larger bullion bars are 13%. All other coins have a spread of 28%. There is also a 1% liquidation fee when you sell your coins back to Goldline. The market must go up enough to overcome this spread before an actual profit is achieved. Precious metals and rare coins can increase or decrease in value. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Coins are a long-term, three- to five-year, preferably five- to ten-year investment. We believe precious metals are suitable for 5% to 20% of the average investment portfolio though others may recommend a different percentage.
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- S&P Capital IQ - Gold: $1,900 (in 2012) "Leo Larkin, metals and mining analyst at S&P Capital IQ, thinks that $1,900 gold might not be that much of a stretch [in 2012]. 'Gold has been ..."
- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."


