
DOW JONES REPORTS GOLD IS FORECAST TO REACH $1,100-$1,200 BY YEAR-END
Gold is down $3, while silver is up $.04. Silver showing excellent strength in the face of a dollar rally. The dollar is up 34 basis points at 77 on the index. Oil is up slightly, gaining $.12 in early trading at $70.73 a barrel, while the Dow Industrials are down 128 points.
Dow Jones Wire Service reported that a senior trader at a European bank in Singapore forecast that the $1,100 to $1,200 range is likely by year-end. Also supportive of the gold market is news from an IMF report that the dollar's share in global currency reserves fell in the 2nd quarter, while the overall level of reserves rose. HSBC analyst James Steele said, "Gold prices have tended to rally when the USD's position as the world's principal reserve currency is called into question or otherwise undermined." The IMF reported that the US dollar accounted for 62.8% of total reserves down from 65% during the first quarter. That is a substantial reduction in the quantity of dollar reserves on a global basis.
This morning gold is feeling pressure from the stronger dollar and the weaker equity market. However, the correction is modest and the fact that silver is higher is also a positive factor. Investors who follow the views of Steele and others and feel that gold is likely to move substantially higher by year-end, should be accumulating gold at these levels.
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†This material has been prepared for private use. Although the information in this commentary has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, Goldline does not guarantee its accuracy and such information may be incomplete or condensed. The opinions expressed are subject to change without notice.
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- S&P Capital IQ - Gold: $1,900 (in 2012) "Leo Larkin, metals and mining analyst at S&P Capital IQ, thinks that $1,900 gold might not be that much of a stretch [in 2012]. 'Gold has been ..."
- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."


