
FED RAISES DISCOUNT RATE - DOLLAR SOARS
The Fed raised the discount rate .25% after the New York market closed yesterday and that caused gold to pull back. Overnight gold dipped to a low of $1,099.30, but it has rebounded very strongly trading down $4 at $1,114 an ounce. The dollar has soared, up 66 basis points at 81.06, which is the highest level in several years. In spite of all of that silver is up $.04 and looking quite strong. I view the metals in general as performing quite well given the announcement by the IMF and the Fed this week. Both of those factors could have caused a significant dip in the metals markets, but did not.
On balance, this suggests that the gold market is looking solid and that it is building a nice base at these levels. Bear in mind the forecast of major banks and brokers such as Goldman Sachs, which just in the past couple of weeks raised its gold forecast to $1,380. In addition, yesterday a prominent analyst cited on BusinessWeek.com calling for $1,400 an ounce this year. These analysts' forecasts are all in the same ballpark. Therefore, you may see gold as a bargain buying opportunity at these levels. The same is true of silver, which is looking very strong this morning.
VM Group announced today that miners continued their de-hedging programs drawing down hedges by eight million ounces. This year de-hedging is likely to continue they said, and this should also be a significant positive for the metals market. One analyst told the Dow Jones Wire Service that in spite of the news that has hit the markets this week, the technical charts for gold remain "upbeat" with gold trading above $1,100 an ounce for the most part. Afshin Nabavi of MKS Finance said that he sees gold likely to remain in a range between $1,100 and $1,130 in the near-term. Part of the reason that gold is holding in these tight ranges is that there are holidays in China and other parts of Asia. HSBC's analyst James Steele said that there appears to be a floor for prices right now given the markets ability to absorb the latest spate of bearish news in the Fed hike and IMF plans. With a floor under prices, it is reasonable to assume that a new base is building during this period of consolidation and that another up leg will begin in the near-term.
Some of the biggest strongest and most knowledgeable investors are acquiring gold at these levels. They include George Soros, John Paulsen, David Einhorn, Bank of America, Black Rock Capital and others. Call Goldline at 1-877-341-2646 now to learn about some of these actions and for information on getting started with gold and silver. Be sure to ask for the free information package and ask about Goldline's Price Guarantee Program, which is offered only by Goldline. Call Goldline today at 1-877-341-2646.
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- S&P Capital IQ - Gold: $1,900 (in 2012) "Leo Larkin, metals and mining analyst at S&P Capital IQ, thinks that $1,900 gold might not be that much of a stretch [in 2012]. 'Gold has been ..."
- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."









