
GOLD CONSOLIDATES ON DEFLATIONARY PRESSURES
Gold prices edged lower Monday morning on the New York Spot Market as investors digested information from the Fed’s June 22 to 23 meeting, which suggested the possibility of deflationary pressures. While the Fed’s minutes show that several participants noted lower-than-expected inflation, participants also noted that the possibility of a potentially unsustainable fiscal position and the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet could boost inflation expectations and actual inflation over time. (The Street, 7/19/10)
Stocks are holding modest gains on the New York Stock Exchange after a report showed home-builder confidence is waning, which raised concerns about the economy ahead of this week’s second-quarter results from corporate America. The report heavily weighed on retail and housing related stocks, said Nick Kalivas, vice president of financial research at MF Global. "The economic news recently has been consistently surprising to the downside," he said. "That's making the market jittery." (CNN Money, 7/19/10)
Donald Luskin, chief investment officer of Trend Macrolytics, answered analysts that have continued to steer investors away from gold during its 10-year historic bull run in an article for Smart Money.
Luskin explains, “It’s been one of the best investments you could have made over the last decade.” He adds, “Today it costs about $1,200 an ounce. Did I mention that's quintuple the price of 10 years ago?” Turning his attention to gold’s long-term outlook, Luskin says, “I have no idea what it's going to do tomorrow or the next day. But I know that inflation around the world is an inevitability -- all the more so for all the talk now about deflation, because that's going to keep the Fed and the rest of the world's central banks pedal-to-metal on their printing presses.” (Smart Money, 7/19/10)


- S&P Capital IQ - Gold: $1,900 (in 2012) "Leo Larkin, metals and mining analyst at S&P Capital IQ, thinks that $1,900 gold might not be that much of a stretch [in 2012]. 'Gold has been ..."
- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."









