
GOLD CONSOLIDATING FOLLOWING CPI REPORT
Gold prices have consolidated below $1,200 per ounce on the New York Spot Market as of 1:10 p.m. EST as inflation risk waned following the release of the latest Consumer Price Index Report. While the core CPI was higher than expected, the overall report suggested to traders that deflation is very likely in the coming months.
Stocks continued their decline Friday as the Dow plunged more than 200 points in early trading on the New York Stock Exchange. The CPI report and weaker-than-expected quarterly revenue from General Electric, Bank of America and Citigroup raised concerns about the strength of corporate profits. Low inflation is not encouraging people to invest or save their money, according to Bob Tull, chief operating officer of Old Mutual Global Index Trackers. Instead, their money goes to paying off debt, he said, which does not drive the economy. "It makes no sense really to save, because there's no yield," he said. "You see people paying off their debt, because at the end of the day, [paying off] their debt is the best yield they can get." (CNN Money, 7/16/10)
“Gold isn't necessarily being viewed as either a deflation hedge or an inflation hedge, but more likely a flight to safe currency or real money,” according to market analyst Michael Berry. “In other words, gold is becoming money because of what people are finally beginning to understand,” he said. “People distrust the euro. They really don't trust the yen. They don't trust the Chinese yuan; and people are slowly but surely losing trust in the U.S. dollar.” Berry also believes silver is “undervalued” at current prices and that investors would be wise to acquire both metals in their portfolio. According to Berry, fiat money is going “the way of the wind.” (The Gold Report, 7/16/10)


- S&P Capital IQ - Gold: $1,900 (in 2012) "Leo Larkin, metals and mining analyst at S&P Capital IQ, thinks that $1,900 gold might not be that much of a stretch [in 2012]. 'Gold has been ..."
- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."









