
GOLD EXTENDS RECORD WELL ABOVE $1,000 AN OUNCE
Precious metals are on a decisive breakout move with gold rising $12 and silver up $.34. December gold is trading at $1,018.60 and silver is trading at $17.35. The dollar is down 23 basis points at 76.31, oil is about unchanged, and the equity market likewise is only slightly higher. Gold has now extended its 18-month record high well above $1,000, supported by the weaker dollar and technical momentum. One trader said, "We are seeing a lot of problems with the dollar." The trader also said, "The long-term prospects for gold are very good" as there is a bull market for gold compared to paper assets said the Dow Jones Wire Service. Gold also has record highs in other countries, notably India and Europe.
The forecast that I reported from Standard and Poor's said "Should prices break strongly above the $1,000 an ounce area we think prices could rise to the $1,200 to $1,500 an ounce range over the next nine to 12 months." That seems to be the upside here. GFMS said they see gold rising to $1,100 in the next six months. Rob McEwen said he sees gold at $5,000 an ounce by 2014 or 2015. On a short-term basis I reported yesterday that Axel Rudolph told Dow Jones Wire Service that gold could soon reach the $1,015 high and once that is breached head towards the $1,028 July high. It seems that gold is well on its way to those levels.
Those who have not yet gotten into the market or feel they are underweight gold or silver may wish to attack this market with some aggressive moves. It looks as though gold is going to breakout to new all-time record highs. If that occurs, the levels $1,100 to $1,200 to $1,300 are on the cards according to analysts. For now the key level to watch is $1,028. A break above that level will lead to much higher levels. The Dow Jones analyst Axel Rudolph said this morning that, "Gold futures are getting every closer to their $1,028 a troy ounce July 2008 high, which should be reached within a matter of days."
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†This material has been prepared for private use. Although the information in this commentary has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, Goldline does not guarantee its accuracy and such information may be incomplete or condensed. The opinions expressed are subject to change without notice.
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- S&P Capital IQ - Gold: $1,900 (in 2012) "Leo Larkin, metals and mining analyst at S&P Capital IQ, thinks that $1,900 gold might not be that much of a stretch [in 2012]. 'Gold has been ..."
- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."


