
GOLD GAINS AMID CONCERNS OF INFLATIONS
After three days of consolidation, Gold has returned to its bullish trend on concerns of inflation and lower prices, which has spurred demand from investors. Advances in the U.S. dollar and concern over the SEC's investigation into Goldman Sachs had caused a drop in the price of gold and curbed demand for commodities across the board since last Friday. Gold was up 0.7%, to $1,143.00 an ounce this morning.
The silver market remains bullish as well, with prices increasing 1.3 percent to $17.965 an ounce this morning.
The latest news out of Greece this morning is that the total bailout funds needed to escape its debt crisis and avoid default are nearly $108 billion, which nearly doubles previous estimates. The result is that European countries and the International Monetary Fund will likely extend the bailout over several stages that will reach beyond 2010.
Stocks also inched higher this morning as investors concerns over Goldman Sachs' fraud case were dampened by its strong quarterly earnings. Higher than expected earnings from Coca-Cola, Johnson & Johnson and others also bolstered stocks.
Meanwhile, oil prices rebounded Tuesday after falling nearly 3% the day before. Crude was up $1.15 to $82.60 a barrel.
In other news, European air travel is slowly resuming, but remains far from being "business as usual." According to the International Air Transport Association airlines were "hemorrhaging at least $200 million a day in revenue and are now demanding EU compensation." (Associated Press 4/20) This estimate is considered conservative, however, as it does not include costs such as rerouting planes or caring for stranded passengers.
Turning attention back to precious metals, the long-term outlook for gold looks remains bullish. An article posted this morning on "Business Week" quotes Martyn Whitehead, head of metals sales at Barclays Capital in London as stating, "If inflation begins to creep back, that's a good environment for gold."
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- S&P Capital IQ - Gold: $1,900 (in 2012) "Leo Larkin, metals and mining analyst at S&P Capital IQ, thinks that $1,900 gold might not be that much of a stretch [in 2012]. 'Gold has been ..."
- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."









