
GOLD NEAR UNCHANGED, MAY RISE ON BARGAIN BUYING
Gold is little changed on the New York Spot Market, but may gain as the lowest prices in nearly three months spur demand. “From a risk-reward perspective, this level presents a buying opportunity,” said Bayram Dincer, an analyst at LGT Capital Management in Pfaeffikon, Switzerland. Investors are also expecting there may be increased demand from India. “The current decline in the gold price is probably only short-lived,” Eugen Weinberg, the head of commodity research with Commerzbank AG, wrote in a report yesterday. “There are some religious holidays from the end of August” in India, the world’s largest gold consumer, which may propel demand, he said. (Bloomberg, 7/28/10)
Stocks are mixed on the New York Stock Exchange following news of worse-than-expected durable goods orders and weaker quarterly results from Boeing and others added to concerns about the pace of the economy. (CNN Money, 7/28/10)
Jeb Handwerger of Seeking Alpha tells traders gold is ‘oversold’ right now and prices are poised to go higher by the end of the year. According to Handwerger, “I expect that the rally in equities will be coming to an end and that gold’s poor summer performance will be different this fall as many weak hands are shaken out. An explosive fall rally into new highs is expected as I still have a target of $1400 by year end.” (Seeking Alpha, 7/28/10)
†This material has been prepared for private use. Although the information in this commentary has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, Goldline does not guarantee its accuracy and such information may be incomplete or condensed. The opinions expressed are subject to change without notice.
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- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."









