GOLD POSTING OUTSTANDING GAINS

Gold is up $15 and silver is up $.30 in the first half-hour of trading. Overnight, gold was as high as $1,163, up $25. While it has come off of the highs, it nevertheless is posting an outstanding gain this morning. The gains in the metals markets are tied with all commodities as it was revealed overnight that China went on a commodities shopping spree in December. The Dow Jones Wire Service reported, "The dollar tumbled as the Chinese news re-ignited risk appetite and extended the carry trade plays into the Monday session ... Technicians say chart base buying occurred as the February futures broke through the highs of the three previous sessions around $1,040 to $1,041 an ounce." The data indicates that China's exports surged 17.7% in December, compared to a year ago. That ended 13 months of decline. It seems fairly clear that the Chinese economy is posting a strong recovery.

With gold now trading above $1,150 an ounce, if the market closes at these levels or above it will suggest a move into the $1,175 range and from there on to $1,200. Standard Bank told the Dow Jones Wire Service that gold may outperform platinum in the near-term. Managed money is also coming into the silver market as professionals extend their net long positions in silver. While the dollar was down sharply overnight, it has recovered this morning, trading down 6 basis points. Given the fact that the dollar has been recovering and gold has held, is bullish for gold. FuturesTech told Dow Jones Wire Service, "Gold's technicals have turned bullish following the overnight rally in Asia."

In geopolitical news there is a crisis going on at Argentina's central bank. The credit rating agencies continue to rate Argentina's debt as barely above expectation of default. Combine that with so many countries in Europe and elsewhere in the world that have dreadful credit ratings and we may be on the brink of sovereign debt defaults. That could really cause gold to take off on the upside.

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