
GOLD PRICES & THE DOW COULD BE HEADED FOR 1:1 RATIO
Gold prices moved past $1180 Monday, up $4.80 to $1,185.50 an ounce at the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange at 7:30 AM PDT. Silver was rising with gold prices, up 8 cents to $18.72 as of. (NYMXE)
Key forces driving the market are the resolution to the Greece debt crisis, which gives Greece 110 billion euros from a joint IMF and European Union financial aid package by May 19. In return, Greece will enforce harsher measures such as salary and pension cuts for public-sector employees, a hike in the retirement age, tax raises, and an end to annual two-month bonuses. (The Street, 5/3/10)
Crude oil advanced in trading Monday as traders looked to upbeat economic reports and potential decreases in supply resulting from the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. Crude rose 0.6%, to $86.65 a barrel on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. (Marketwatch, 5/3/10)
Stocks are currently higher after improved economic reports and a merger between United and Continental Airlines raised expectations about a recovery. The Dow rose 144 points to 11,052 at 1:25pm EST, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 were up as well. (Marketwatch, 5/3/10). United's acquisition of Continental for $3 billion and reports on manufacturing, construction spending and consumer spending boosted expectations that the economy is bouncing back.
The outlook for gold remains bullish according to several analysts. In an interview on April 30, Peter Schiff, president of Euro Pacific Capital, predicted gold prices and the Dow would resume their 1:1 ratio and push gold to a record high of $7,000 an ounce. According to Schiff, the 1:1 ratio, as occurred in 1980, is inevitable. "Gold has been money for 5,000 years for a reason," said Schiff. "We have a phony economy that's destined to collapse and the sooner it does, the sooner we can begin undoing the damage and building a real economy on a sound foundation where we can have lasting and meaningful prosperity." (The Street, 5/3)
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- S&P Capital IQ - Gold: $1,900 (in 2012) "Leo Larkin, metals and mining analyst at S&P Capital IQ, thinks that $1,900 gold might not be that much of a stretch [in 2012]. 'Gold has been ..."
- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."









