
GOLD SHOWING EXCEPTIONAL STRENGTH
The metals started the day lower, but gold quickly rebounded into positive territory. Silver remained lower. Gold is showing exceptional strength rallying in the face of a dollar rally, up 25 basis points at 82.56, softer oil is down $.25 at $58.59 a barrel, and the Dow is down 145 points. This is an encouraging sign for the precious metals. If gold closes above $924 today, I suspect it will test the $934 resistance level fairly quickly. It is expected that the $934 level will provide significant resistance as a breakout above that would technically signal a move to the $1,000 level. However, given the strength of the market, the upside momentum, and the fact that funds are moving into the market along with short covering, would suggest that resistance level maybe overcome more easily than people think.
This morning gold was also supported by weaker than expected April retail sales and higher than expected import prices. Retail sales were down 0.4% compared to the prior month. Import prices jumped by their largest amount in almost one year, rising 1.6%, more than double the amount that had been expected. Some of this is reflecting the third straight increase in oil prices. Overall, the metals markets look very constructive and should be considered a buying opportunity.
Some analysts are talking about gold rising as high as $1,200 this year. In fact Ned Schmidt, a very prominent analyst, said he thinks gold could be above $1,100 by September and that investors should be buying gold at these levels. Gary Dorsch said he believes gold could climb towards $1,200 an ounce before the end of the year. These forecasts are consistent with the forecasts of many of the major bank and brokerage firm analysts and economists. Gold has been in a nine-year bull market but it has not gone parabolic. It has been a gradual, sustained, controlled advance, and that is a positive market performance. At some point, I suspect the gold market will go parabolic and at that point folks can start worrying about the potential for a top. However, we are nowhere near that level at this point, so the opportunity is excellent.
The Dow Jones Wire Service reported this morning, "The deteriorating financial situation in the U.S. is a long-term fiscal and economic challenge that should result in gold remaining in a bull market for the foreseeable future," Mark O'Byrne, … says the inflation adjusted high of $2,400 reached in 1980 – "when the U.S. fiscal situation was positively benign compared to today" – is a more than plausible target in the coming years." Barclay's Capital technical analyst said to Dow Jones Wire Service that they also have a bullish view on prices based on the developing pattern of higher lows and higher highs since the April 20 low around $865 an ounce. Barclay's Capital said a break of $927.70 can set up an advance to $935 near-term.
Given the forecasts of these extremely prominent analysts, it is important that investors consider whether they own enough gold and if they own none, that you get started without delay. Call Goldline today at 1-877-341-2646 for further information on getting started with gold. Ask them about the Price Guarantee Program and have them explain the features, benefits and cost structure of assets available to you. Call Goldline at 1-877-341-2646 for information on investing in gold.
Also, be sure you ask for Goldline's free information package. It has excellent articles giving price forecasts for the precious metals over the coming year and in addition, will provide you with information on the development of a new global currency, the potential for formal devaluation of the dollar, and a number of other very important issues to all of today's investors. To receive the free information package, along with a free copy of the CD interview I did with Frank Barbera and a free copy of the American Advisor Newsletter, a $25 value, call Goldline at 1-877-341-2646.
Investors should contact Goldline and ask them to explain the features, benefits and cost structure of the various gold and silver investments that are available to you. Select those that best meet your own personal and individual investing needs and objectives. Investors looking for low transaction costs may wish to consider bullion assets such as American Eagles, Krugerrands, Canadian Maple Leafs, Silver Bags or Silver Bars. However, the Price Guarantee Program is not available with these assets.
If you would like to take advantage of the Price Guarantee Program, which provides you with a two-week window of opportunity in which to re-price your order in the event of a correction, you must select assets with some collectible value such as 20 Francs, Double Eagles and Silver Dollars. Call Goldline at 1-877-341-2646 for further information on the Price Guarantee Program.
To receive the free information package, including articles on the dollar, the economy and gold, call Goldline at 1-877-341-2646. Goldline also provides several other helpful articles. There are a number of other independent third-party source articles that you will find extremely helpful and informative. You will also receive the Client Account Agreement, a company brochure and a Coin Facts Risk Disclosure booklet. Read these carefully before you make an investment. Call Goldline at 1-877-341-2646 now to receive your free information package.
†This material has been prepared for private use. Although the information in this commentary has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, Goldline does not guarantee its accuracy and such information may be incomplete or condensed. The opinions expressed are subject to change without notice.
You should review Goldine's Account Agreement along with our risk disclosure booklet, Coin Facts for Investors and Collectors to Consider ®, prior to making your purchase. Goldline has a spread or price difference between our selling price, called the "ask", and our buy-back price, called the "bid". That spread varies depending on coin or bar you acquire. Spreads on 1 oz bullion coins, 90% silver dimes and quarters, and one ounce and larger bullion bars are 13%. All other coins have a spread of 28%. There is also a 1% liquidation fee when you sell your coins back to Goldline. The market must go up enough to overcome this spread before an actual profit is achieved. Precious metals and rare coins can increase or decrease in value. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Coins are a long-term, three- to five-year, preferably five- to ten-year investment. We believe precious metals are suitable for 5% to 20% of the average investment portfolio though others may recommend a different percentage.
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- S&P Capital IQ - Gold: $1,900 (in 2012) "Leo Larkin, metals and mining analyst at S&P Capital IQ, thinks that $1,900 gold might not be that much of a stretch [in 2012]. 'Gold has been ..."
- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."


