
GOLD SOARS ON FED ACTION, WEAKER DOLLAR
Gold prices surged on the New York Spot Market rising nearly $ as of 9:30 a.m. PDT. Investors acquired the yellow metal following the move by the Federal Reserve and six other central banks to lower the cost of existing dollar swap lines in an effort to create greater global liquidity. According to The Street, “The banks will lower the price on dollar liquidity swaps by 0.5% until February 2013, making it cheaper for other countries and banks to trade in their local currencies for dollars and fund their operations including loaning cash to consumers and businesses.” Commenting on the move, macro and consumer strategist Richard Hastings said:, “Gold has a special talent for sniffing out these imbalances," says Hastings, "as long as this continues gold will continue to rally." (The Street, 11/30/11)
U.S. stocks also moved higher after the central banks' move lifted investor sentiment and provided hope that world leaders could avoid a credit crunch and stem the sovereign debt crisis. "It's the first time we've seen this type of global coordination since November 2008," said Michael James, a senior equity trader at Wedbush Morgan. "The degree of coordination sends a message to the markets that global leaders are going to do whatever they need to do to instill confidence in the markets." (CNN Money, 11/30/11)
Morgan Stanley announced it prefers exposure to gold, silver and livestock in the coming year according to The Economic Times. "Given the low growth environment, we do not feel it is prudent to be long on the commodity complex indiscriminately," analysts Hussein Allidina and Peter Richardson said in a research note dated Tuesday, November 29. (The Economic Times, 11/30/11)
†This material has been prepared for private use. Although the information in this commentary has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, Goldline does not guarantee its accuracy and such information may be incomplete or condensed. The opinions expressed are subject to change without notice.
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- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."


