
GOLD IS STRONG ABOVE $990 AN OUNCE
Precious metals sold off this morning in reaction to a very strong dollar. The dollar is up 46 basis points at77.01. This pressured all commodities including oil and gold. Gold is trading down $11.20 to $999.10 on the December contract. Silver is down $.39 and oil is down $2.55 near the opening. The equity market is also lower with the Dow down 78 points.
Today the story is all about the dollar, which bounced very aggressively off of its lows. Part of the reason that the dollar was so strong today, is that markets in Japan, Singapore, China and other Asian countries are closed for holidays. Many will have their focus on the Fed Open Market Committee meeting on Wednesday. The Fed isn't expected to raise rates, though investors will be listening for any signals as to when the Fed will start tightening monetary policy. With the economy beginning to show some early signs of potential recovery, there is concern that the Fed will start raising rates, which will strengthen the dollar.
Some analysts told the Dow Jones Wire Service that the Bank of England will also release its minutes on Wednesday and that any surprises hinting at low rates for longer than the market had expected, may hit the pound very hard. As a consequence, they said, "The dollar could see some support before this week's meetings as investors square their positions, take profits in the recent rally in the euro and other higher yielding currencies and seek safe haven shelter in the buck." They also said, "If the Fed committee leaves interest rates unchanged - and offers no rhetorical hints on when it might start to tighten monetary policy - the dollar should continue its recent slide against higher yielding currencies." They further pointed out that falling stocks also tend to bolster the greenback.
On Friday the IMF announced that its board had approved a plan to sell 1/8th of its total gold holdings or about 400 tons. This may have had some influence on prices this morning, but it had no impact on Friday. According to the plan they will sell most of the gold off market to other central banks (think China & Russia). Any gold that comes into the market will be pursuant to the European Gold Sales Agreement, which limits total sales by the European community at 400 tons per year. Over the last several years they haven't sold that much gold. Consequently,those who understand these markets do not feel that is a significant factor.
Last week the Adens reported that gold is super strong above $990 an ounce. Time will tell whether that level will hold during this period of correction and consolidation. James Moore of the Bullion Desk said gold could be quite volatile this week. The combination of the holidays and Fed jitters, is the kind of recipe to provide more volatile markets. As a result of these comments and observations some may see an opportunity to buy the dip. For example, Dow Jones reported, "Traders say pull back below $1,000 isn't a worry, technically gold's up trend remains intact, with next level of support at $990."
Those who wish to accumulate gold or to add to their holdings should contact Goldline at 1-877-341-2646 for their gold needs. You may also wish to ask Goldline to send you the free information package, and ask them to send you the 2009 Gold Survey update that was released about a week ago. That books sells for over $400 and you can get one for free by asking for it. You will also appreciate the free article package and the other information you will find informative. Call Goldline now at 1-877-341-2646.
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†This material has been prepared for private use. Although the information in this commentary has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, Goldline does not guarantee its accuracy and such information may be incomplete or condensed. The opinions expressed are subject to change without notice.
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- S&P Capital IQ - Gold: $1,900 (in 2012) "Leo Larkin, metals and mining analyst at S&P Capital IQ, thinks that $1,900 gold might not be that much of a stretch [in 2012]. 'Gold has been ..."
- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."


