
GOLDMAN SACHS SEES $1,200 GOLD BY YEAR-END
The metals are mixed this morning with gold trading up $2.50 at $1,104, while silver is unchanged and platinum and palladium are both a little lower. The dollar is up 15 basis points at 75.17 and oil is up $.77 at $80.21 a barrel. The equities are also up, but only slightly with the Dow up 14 points. Dow Jones Wire Service said the metals are in consolidation mode. That is actually a good thing. It would be excellent to see gold consolidating its gains above $1,100 an ounce. The longer gold holds above $1,100, the greater the chance of moving to $1,200 by year-end as some of the analysts have been forecasting. Gold is certainly helped by higher crude oil prices. It is overcoming the negative influence of the stronger dollar. If gold closes today above $1,100 an ounce,it will be technically a positive development because of options expirations today, which will be in the money.
Dow Jones Wire Service said, "Cash gold is undergoing minor consolidation off Monday's $1,110.15 high, having met its minimum upside price objective at $1,105.70. However, given the strong underlying bull trend that is behind these recent strong gains, corrective dips are considered to be limited above $1,110.15 would prompt fresh all-time highs towards the $1,150 area, ahead of the more longer-term projected targets at $1,280 and $1,320." That technical observation is very constructive and suggests that investors may wish to continue accumulating gold at these levels. Bank of America/Merrill Lynch is forecasting that gold will break out above $1,500 an ounce in the next 18 months. Deutche Bank said their target is now $1,200 by year-end, and Tom Kendall of Mitsubishi Bank also sees $1,200 by year-end. These are very prominent analysts and their opinions carry great weight.
Dow Jones Wire Service reported, "Goldman sees gold at $1,200 by year-end if TIPS unchanged. Another analyst, Mark Bristow of Randgold Resources said, "Gold prices are likely to hit $1,200 a troy ounce by the year-end." With Dow Jones News Wire reporting so many analysts raising their forecasts for gold, it appears to be a time when investors should at least become better informed about gold. Ask Goldline for the free investing information to assist you in making an informed decision about whether to invest in gold and silver assets.
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†This material has been prepared for private use. Although the information in this commentary has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, Goldline does not guarantee its accuracy and such information may be incomplete or condensed. The opinions expressed are subject to change without notice.
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- S&P Capital IQ - Gold: $1,900 (in 2012) "Leo Larkin, metals and mining analyst at S&P Capital IQ, thinks that $1,900 gold might not be that much of a stretch [in 2012]. 'Gold has been ..."
- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."


