
GREEK CRISIS CONTINUES
The metals pulled back today on a round of profit taking, with gold trading down $8 and silver down $.19. The profit taking prompted by a stronger dollar, up 26 basis points. Among the factors influencing the metals is the Greek issue where fresh worries have arisen about the financially strapped country, which pressured demand for most other assets. For the moment, investors in Europe in particular are moving out of euros and into dollars and that has boosted the dollar and put a little pressure on the gold market. Nevertheless, gold continues to hold above that $1,150 support level and as long as it does that it is showing exceptional strength. In fact, gold is strong above $1,000 an ounce. Therefore there is a good deal of cushion here providing comfort to those who are long gold.
There are meetings now going on in Greece with the Euro Zone finance ministers. They are trying to devise a plan to address the Greek debt issues. They will also have to decide how to handle the problems that exist in Portugal, Spain and Italy. Some are beginning to worry that the European union may come apart. George Soros indicated that the euro might be doomed. You may recall that I suggested this a couple of weeks ago. Now economists at Morgan Stanley believe that while the rescue package removes some short-term liquidity risks "long-term solvency risks remain firmly in place". "More broadly, and more worryingly, recent developments significantly raised the (long-term) risk of a euro breakup, in our view." The bottom line is that Morgan Stanley concludes that there is now a very real chance of both the euro and the EU falling apart.
In that environment, I think gold is an excellent buying opportunity. Many other analysts believe the same. Just yesterday, Jeffries and Company indicated they think gold will target $1,300 an ounce this year. Given those factors, you may wish to consider acquiring gold or adding gold to your holdings if it should be appropriate. Barclay's Capital for example said today that gold is consolidating and the charts indicate bullish sentiment increasing.
If you would like to learn more about some of the analyst's opinions about these markets, call Goldline at 1-877-341-2646 and ask for the free information package. It contains excellent articles on precious metal forecasts and the economy. It also contains an interview with Philip Klapwijk who is the most successful forecaster in the business. You will hear his views for the market this year. Call Goldline now at 1-877-341-2646.
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- S&P Capital IQ - Gold: $1,900 (in 2012) "Leo Larkin, metals and mining analyst at S&P Capital IQ, thinks that $1,900 gold might not be that much of a stretch [in 2012]. 'Gold has been ..."
- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."









