
INVESTORS BUY GOLD ON FED ANNOUNCEMENT
Gold prices are rallying as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s comments on the U.S. economy and its decision to buy U.S. bonds. Gold is often seen as a safe haven asset in times of economic uncertainty. The Fed left key interest rates at 0% to 0.25%, which was expected, but downgraded its view on future economic growth saying, "the pace of economic recovery is likely to be more modest in the near term than had been anticipated." (The Street, 8/11/10)
Stocks slid Wednesday after a wider U.S. trade gap and downbeat foreign data cast doubt on overseas demand for American goods. Before the market opened, the government reported the trade deficit widened to $49.9 billion in June from a revised $42 billion the previous month. "[The] figures suggest the U.S. cannot rely on a boost from overseas demand to offset the current weakness of the domestic economy," said Paul Dales, U.S. economist at Capital Economics. "In fact, the rebounding trade deficit is exacerbating the downturn." (CNN Money, 8/11/10)
CNBC’s Larry Kudlow is anticipating gold prices will jump in response to what he referred to as the Fed choosing “stimulus over dollar stability.” The dollar fell and gold rose after the FOMC signaled today that it would keep its balance sheet steady by reinvesting the proceeds of mortgage bonds into Treasuries. According to Kudlow, “By itself, this is a modest move. But it could be the start of something bigger. If recovery conditions continue to slow, the Fed could be more aggressive by monetizing more Treasury debt and expanding the balance sheet to print money. If it does that, the dollar will depreciate more and gold will rise more. A lot more.” (CNBC, 8/11/10)


- S&P Capital IQ - Gold: $1,900 (in 2012) "Leo Larkin, metals and mining analyst at S&P Capital IQ, thinks that $1,900 gold might not be that much of a stretch [in 2012]. 'Gold has been ..."
- Citigroup - Gold: $2,300 - $2,400 (by end of 2012) "While we remain cautious on Gold in the near term...we continue to believe that the bull market remains intact...we believe that 2012 may be..."
- Leeb Capital Management - Gold: $2,500 - $3,000 (in 2012) "I'll give you my target for gold at the end of 2012, it's going to be trading somewhere between $2,500 and $3,000. This..."
- Global Hunter Securities - Gold: $1,800 (in 2012) "'What I am looking for is a gold price of $1,800 an ounce in 2012,' says Jeffrey Wright, senior research analyst at Global Hunter..."
- US Global Investors - Gold: $3,600 (by 2017) "'People get so caught up with the next three minutes for gold and they should really be focused on the next three years,' says Frank Holmes, ..."
- Goldman Sachs - Gold: over $1,900 (in 2012) "Wall Street investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that gold's bull run will continue into 2012 with a low interest rate environment and..."
- CNBC - Gold: $2,400 (no period given) "Gold will top $2,400 an ounce. The long-term bull market in gold marches on. Gold won't make a straight shot to a new inflation-adjusted high. As long..."
- Nomura - Gold: $2,000 (by end of 2012) "Nomura has raised its forecast for gold prices to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2012, from $1,800 earlier. The brokerage said the low-interest rate..."
- Morgan Stanley - Gold: $2,200 (in first half of 2012) "Gold will lead a rally in commodities in 2012 as Europe's sovereign-debt crisis continues to roil financial markets, spurring demand for ..."
- UBS - Gold: $2,050 average in 2012 "[Gold] remains one of the top commodity picks for 2012 as 'most of the factors that pushed gold higher in 2011 are not going away,' according to UBS..."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch - Gold: $2,150 - $2,200 (average in 2012) "From a technical perspective we believe that the bull trend for gold remains intact… with gold having not yet met any of..."
- TheStreet.com - Gold: $2,500 (by May 2013) "I want to own gold here. I think gold is going to $2,500 eighteen months from now... Gold has been up for ten straight years and this going to be the..."









